THE HANDSTAND |
LATE AUTUMN2008
|
summing up georgia
Why I had to
recognise Georgias breakaway regions
By President
Dmitry Medvedev of Russia
www.ft.com/cms/s/0/9c7ad792-7395-11dd-8a66-0000779fd18c.html
Financial Times August 26 2008 18:48
| Last updated: August 26 2008 18:48
On Tuesday Russia recognised the
independence of the territories of South Ossetia and
Abkhazia. It was not a step taken lightly, or without
full consideration of the consequences. But all possible
outcomes had to be weighed against a sober understanding
of the situation the histories of the Abkhaz and
Ossetian peoples, their freely expressed desire for
independence, the tragic events of the past weeks and
inter national precedents for such a move.
Not all of the worlds
nations have their own statehood. Many exist happily
within boundaries shared with other nations. The Russian
Federation is an example of largely harmonious
coexistence by many dozens of nations and nationalities.
But some nations find it impossible to live under the
tutelage of another. Relations between nations living
under one roof need to be handled with the
utmost sensitivity.
After the collapse of communism,
Russia reconciled itself to the loss
of 14 former Soviet republics,
which became states in their own right, even though some
25m Russians were left stranded in countries no longer
their own. Some of those nations were un able to treat
their own minorities with the respect they deserved.
Georgia immediately stripped its autonomous
regions of Abkhazia and South Ossetia of their
autonomy.
Can you imagine what it was like
for the Abkhaz people to have their university in Sukhumi
closed down by the Tbilisi government on the grounds that
they allegedly had no proper language or history or
culture and so did not need a university? The newly
independent Georgia inflicted a vicious war on its
minority nations, displacing thousands of people and
sowing seeds of discontent that could only grow. These
were tinderboxes, right on Russias doorstep, which
Russian peacekeepers strove to keep from igniting.
But the west, ignoring the
delicacy of the situation, unwittingly (or
wittingly) fed the hopes of the
South Ossetians and Abkhazians for freedom. They clasped
to their bosom a Georgian president, Mikheil Saakashvili,
whose first move was to crush the autonomy of another
region, Adjaria, and made no secret of his intention to
squash the Ossetians and Abkhazians.
Meanwhile, ignoring Russias
warnings, western countries rushed to recognise
Kosovos illegal declaration of independence from
Serbia. We argued consistently that it would be
impossible, after that, to tell the Abkhazians and
Ossetians (and dozens of other groups around the world)
that what was good for the Kosovo Albanians was not good
for them. In international relations, you cannot have one
rule for some and another rule for others.
Seeing the warning signs, we
persistently tried to persuade the Georgians to sign an
agreement on the non-use of force with the Ossetians and
Abkhazians. Mr Saakashvili refused. On the night of
August
7-8 we found out why.
Only a madman could have taken
such a gamble. Did he believe Russia would stand idly by
as he launched an all-out assault on the sleeping city of
Tskhinvali, murdering hundreds of peaceful civilians,
most of them Russian citizens? Did he believe Russia
would stand by as his peacekeeping troops
fired on Russian comrades with whom they were supposed to
be preventing trouble in South Ossetia?
Russia had no option but to crush
the attack to save lives. This was not a war of our
choice. We have no designs on Georgian territory. Our
troops entered Georgia to destroy bases from which the
attack was launched and then left. We restored the peace
but could not calm the fears and aspirations of the South
Ossetian and Abkhazian peoples not when Mr
Saakashvili continued (with the complicity and
encouragement of the US and some other Nato members) to
talk of rearming his forces and reclaiming Georgian
territory. The presidents of the two republics
appealed to Russia to recognise their independence.
A heavy decision weighed on my
shoulders. Taking into account the freely expressed views
of the Ossetian and Abkhazian peoples, and based on the
principles of the United Nations charter and other
documents of international law, I signed a decree on the
Russian Federations recognition of the independence
of South Ossetia and Abkhazia. I sincerely hope that the
Georgian people, to whom we feel historic friendship and
sympathy, will one day have leaders they deserve, who
care about their country and who develop mutually
respectful relations with all the peoples in the Caucasus.
Russia is ready to support the achievement of such a goal.
so true! :
Sergei Lavrov, the Russian foreign minister, said the
EU discussions are the product of a "sick
imagination" and Western confusion.
"Apart from that my friend Kouchner also said
that we will soon attack Moldova and Ukraine and the
Crimea ... But that is a sick imagination and probably
that applies to sanctions as well," Lavrov told
reporters in the Tajik capital.
"I think it is a demonstration of complete
confusion," he said.
The warning was made "just because they're upset
that the 'little pet' of certain Western capitals didn't
fulfill their expectations," Lavrov said, referring
to Georgia.
It was the pro-Israeli crowd in the Republican
Party that pulled the old switcheroo and refocussed on
the Middle East rather than Eurasia. Now, powerful
members of the US foreign policy establishment (Brzezinski,
Albright, Holbrooke) have regrouped behind the populist 'cardboard'
presidential candidate Barak Obama and are preparing to
redirect America's war efforts to the Asian theater.
Obama offers voters a choice of wars not a choice against
war.
-- Mike Whitney 13 August 2008
The Role of Israel in
the Georgian War
August 17, 2008
by Brian Harring
www.brianharring@yahoo.com
Georgia became a huge source of income, and military
advantage, for the Israeli government and Israeli arms
dealers.. Israel began selling arms to Georgia about
seven years ago, following an initiative by Georgian
citizens who immigrated to Israel and became weapons
hustlers.
They contacted Israeli defense industry officials and
arms dealers and told them that Georgia had relatively
large budgets, mostly American grants, and could be
interested in purchasing Israeli weapons.
The military cooperation between the countries developed
swiftly. The fact that Georgia's defense minister, Davit
Kezerashvili, is a former Israeli who is fluent in Hebrew
contributed to this cooperation. 'We are now in a fight
against the great Russia,' he said, 'and our hope is to
receive assistance from the White House, because Georgia
cannot survive on its own. '
Kezerashvili's door was always open to the Israelis who
came and offered his country arms systems made in Israel.
Compared to countries in Eastern Europe, the deals in
this country were conducted fast, mainly due to the pro-Israeli
defense minister's personal involvement.
The Jerusalem Post on August 12, 2008 reported: 'Georgian
Prime Minister Vladimer (Lado) Gurgenidze(Jewish) made a
special call to Israel Tuesday morning to receive a
blessing from one of the Haredi community's most
important rabbis and spiritual leaders, Rabbi Aharon Leib
Steinman.' The Prime Minister of Georgia, principally a
nation of Orthodox Christians called Rabbi Steinman
saying 'I've heard he is a holy man. I want him to pray
for us and our state.'
Among the Israelis who took advantage of the opportunity
and began doing business in Georgia were former Minister
Roni Milo and his brother Shlomo, former director-general
of the Military Industries, Brigadier-General (Res.) Gal
Hirsch and Major-General (Res.) Yisrael Ziv.
Roni Milo conducted business in Georgia for Elbit Systems
and the Military Industries, and with his help Israel's
defense industries managed to sell to Georgia remote-piloted
vehicles (RPVs), automatic turrets for armored vehicles,
antiaircraft systems, communication systems, shells and
rockets.
The Ministry of Defense of Israel had supplied the
Georgian government their Hermes 450 UAV spy drones, made
by Elbit Maarahot Systems Ltd, for use, under the strict
control of Israeli intelligence units, to conduct
intelligence-gathering flights over southern Russia and,
most especially into a Iran, targeted for Israeli Air
Force attacks in the near future.
Two airfields in southern Georgia had been earmarked for
the use of Israeli military aircraft, intended to launch
an attack on identified targets relating to Iranian
atomic energy projects. This attack was approved by
President Bush in an undertaking with the government of
Israel signed in Washington, D.C., on July 4, 2006.
The thrust of this top secret agreement was that the
Israeli government would have 'free and unfettered use'
of unspecified Georgian airfields, under American control,
onto which they could ferry fighter-bombers which then
could fly south, over Turkish territory (and with
clandestine Turkish permission) to strike at Tehran. The
distance from Georgia to Tehran is obviously far less
than from Tel Aviv.
No one expected that these attacks would completely
destroy Iranian military or scientific targets, but there
would be the element of complete surprise coupled with
serious property damage which might well interdict future
Iranian atomic development and certainly serve as a
serious warning to Iran not to threaten Israel again.
Using Georgian bases, with the consent and full
assistance of, the United States, would make such an
attack much more feasible that attempting to fly from
Israeli bases with overflights that might have serious
regional diplomatic consequences.
Now, thanks to the irrational actions of the thoroughly
unstable Georgian president, all of these schemes have
collapsed and it is now believed that the Russian special
forces have captured, intact, a number of the Israeli
drones and, far more important, their radio controlling
equipment.
In the main, Israeli military and intelligence units
stationed in Georgia were mostly composed of Israel
Defense Force reservists working for Global CST, owned by
Maj. Gen. Israel Ziv, and Defense Shield, owned by Brig.
Gen. Gal Hirsch. 'The Israelis should be proud of
themselves for the Israeli training and education
received by the Georgian soldiers,' Georgian Minister
Temur Yakobashvili.
By this manner, Israel could claim that it had a very
small number of IDF people in Georgia 'mainly connected
with our Embassy in Tiblisi.' The Russians, however, were
not fooled by this and their own intelligence had
pinpointed Israeli surveillance bases and when they went
after the Georgians who invaded South Ossetia, units of
the Russian air force bombed the Israeli bases in central
Georgia and in the area of the capital, Tbilisi. They
also severely damaged the runways and service areas of
the two Georgian airbases designed to launch Israeli sir
force units in a sudden attack on Iran.
Israel is currently a part of the Anglo-American military
axis, which cooperates with the interests of the Western
oil giants in the Middle East and Central Asia.
Israel is a partner in the Baku-Tblisi- Ceyhan pipeline
which brings oil and gas to the Eastern Mediterranean.
More than 20 percent of Israeli oil is imported from
Azerbaijan, of which a large share transits through the
BTC pipeline. Controlled by British Petroleum, the BTC
pipeline has dramatically changed the geopolitics of the
Eastern Mediterranean and the Caucusus:
'[The BTC pipeline] considerably changes the status of
the region's countries and cements a new pro-West
alliance. Having taken the pipeline to the Mediterranean,
Washington has practically set up a new bloc with
Azerbaijan, Georgia, Turkey and Israel, ' (Komerzant,
Moscow, 14 July 2006)
While the official reports state that the BTC pipeline
will 'channel oil to Western markets', what is rarely
acknowledged is that part of the oil from the Caspian sea
would be directly channeled towards Israel, via Georgia.
In this regard, an Israeli-Turkish pipeline project has
also been envisaged which would link Ceyhan to the
Israeli port of Ashkelon and from there through Israel's
main pipeline system, to the Red Sea.
The objective of Israel is not only to acquire Caspian
sea oil for its own consumption needs but also to play a
key role in re-exporting Caspian sea oil back to the
Asian markets through the Red Sea port of Eilat. The
strategic implications of this re-routing of Caspian sea
oil are far-reaching
What has been planned, is to link the BTC pipeline to the
Trans-Israel Eilat-Ashkelon pipeline, also known as
Israel's Tipline, from Ceyhan to the Israeli port of
Ashkelon.
The Isreali unmanned surveillance drones
The unmanned Israeli clandestine surveillance drones are
a favorite of intelligence agencies world-wide. Their
most popular drone is the Hermes 450 drone aircraft.
The Hermes 450 is a large, capable 450 kg spy drone
manufactured by Elbit Systems of Israel. Able to stay
airborne for a maximum of 20 hours, it has a 10.5 metre
wingspan and is 6.1 metres long. It can carry a variety
of different surveillance packages, including the CoMPASS
(Compact Multi-Purpose Advanced Stabilised System), which
is a combined laser marker and infrared scanner.
Elbit also offers Hermes with the AN/ZPQ-1 TESAR (Tactical
Endurance Synthetic Aperture Radar) from Northrop Grumman
of the US, a ground-sweeping radar which can detect
objects as small as one foot in size and pick out those
which are moving from those which aren't. Radars of this
type are essential for full bad weather capability, and
help a lot with scanning large areas of terrain. Electro-optical
scanners such as CoMPASS tend to offer a 'drink-straw'
view of only small areas in detail. The TESAR is the same
radar used in the hugely successful 'Predator' drone, in
service for several years now with the US forces.
The U.S. Army has a drone trainng school located at Ft.
Huachuca, Arizona, an intelligence center located 10
miles from the Mexican border and the home of massive
telephonic intelligence intercept units, aimed at Central
and South America. At present there are 225 soldiers,
reservists, and National Guardsmen training at this
school. And on the faculty are three Israeli specialists.
This unit is not destined for the middle east or
even Pakistan; it has been set up to conduct surveillance
of northern Mexico. There are two reasons for wanting to
watch our southern neighbor. The first is to watch for
great treks of illegal aliens but the second, and most
important, is to conduct reconnaissance of territory over
which American military units might be traversing in any
punitive actions that could very, very well be triggered
by the growing political instability in Mexico, caused by
a growing struggle between the central government and the
very powerful Mexican-based drug lords, who are wreaking
havoc in that very corrupt country.
If a highly irate CIA employee, complaining of 'excessive
Israeli influence' in his agency, had not passed on files
of information to the Russians late last year in Miami,
in all probability, we would be reading about a stunning
Israeli attack on Tehran. Now, the Iranian anti-aircraft
missile batteries, supplied and manned by Russian 'technicians,'
have the probable coordinates of such an Israeli surprise
attack, from the north, which would give the defenses of
Tehran a vital heads-up.
This is a tale of US expansion not Russian aggression
http://www.tbrnews.org/Archives/a2869.htm#001
Source; TBR News
Death from the Skies
August 24, 2008
by Brian Harring
South
Ossetian officials accused Georgia on Sunday of
building up military forces along the edge of South
Ossetiaand claimed a Georgian unit fired
sporadically at villages overnight. There were no
reports of casualties, but South Ossetian
spokeswoman Irina Gagloyeva said residents were
asking to be evacuated.
Georgian Security Council chief Alexander
Lomaia denied that Georgian forces had fired any
shots but said Russian forces were obligated to
leave positions in the area, which is in Georgia.Lomaia
also said Russian forces were still holding 12 of
22 Georgian servicemen taken prisoner in Poti
last week, including two Yemini Jews, disguised
as Arabs. On one of these, Russian military
intelligence interrogators found a packet of
reports, wrapped in plastic and taped to the
mans back. This packet consisted of
the highest level security matters.
This concerned the ongoing plan to base
Israeli fighter-bombers at Marneuli military
airbase, 20 kilometers south of Tbilisi and that
these aircraft were intended for a special air
raid on the Iranian capital city of Tehran.
It was originally felt that six aircraft were to
be utilized, three attacking the city itself and
three to attack targeted Iranian oil facilities.
The
captured Israelis papers, all written in
Hebrew, when translated by the Russian GRU turned
out to be somewhat different in nature. While one
flight was indeed intended to attack various
Iranian oil facilities, the second flight was
planned to drop chemical warfare bombs on Tehran.
These bombs, which were designed to blow open at
a set altitude, were filled with weapons-grade
anthrax and this anthrax, kept in a specially
sealed box at the U.S. diplomatic offices in
Tiblisi, came from Fr. Detrick in Maryland and
their shipment had the approval of the President
himself. Another twist to the bizarre plot
was that the aircraft, made in the United States,
were to have their Israeli marking masked with
American markings and that these markings were to
be applied in a water-based paint that could
easily be hosed off when this flight returned to
Georgia.
When
the Russians learned of this, they immediately
notified their Embassy in Tehran and subjected
their Yemeni Israeli to what they called
intensive interrogation, not unlike
the CIAs Bush-mandated torture. In
this case, the subject expired but
not before revealing more of the joint Israeli-US
activity.
indirectly
saved the lives of many thousands of Iranians. In
an abstract sense, the Russian counter attack on
Georgia
The
Americans, apparently, were totally unaware of
the Israeli false flag portion of the operation.
Had the BW attack been successful, the question
arises as to whether the American military
command would ever discuss any aspect of it. If
any of the falsely-marked Israeli aircraft had
been seen and wrongly identified as American,
there would be heated denials and the matter
would quickly be shoved under the carpet by the
American media.
In
central Georgia, an oil train exploded and caught
fire, sending plumes of black smoke into the air.
A Georgian official said the train hit a land
mine and blamed the explosion on departing
Russian forces. The Russian Defense Ministry
declined to comment.
The
director of Georgia's railways, Irakli Ezugbaia
said the train that exploded on Sunday was
carrying crude oil from Kazakhstan to a Georgian
Black Sea port.
Georgia
straddles a key westward route for oil from Azerbaijan
and other Caspian Seanations including Kazakhstan,
giving it added strategic importance as the U.S.
and the European Unionseek to decrease Russia's
dominance of oil and gas exports from the former
Soviet Union.
There
were 12 derailed tanker cars, some askew on the
railway line and others flipped onto their sides.
Firefighters hosed down the wreckage.
Georgian
Interior Ministry spokesman Shota Utiashvili said
the train hit a mine, as did the country's
railway director. Utiashvili said there were no
casualties, but the blast had also set off
explosions at an abandoned munitions dump nearby.
Utiashvili
blamed the explosion on the Russians. Georgian
officials say Russian forces have sabotaged
infrastructure to weaken Georgia, and accused
them of blowing up a train bridge last week.
Ezugbaia said other mines
were found on the tracks, and Georgian forces
removed a large artillery shell that was jammed
under the tracks and covered with stones.
|
War in the Caucasus is as much the product
of an American imperial drive as local conflicts. It's
likely to be a taste of things to come
August 14 2008
by Seumas Milne
The Guardian,
The outcome of six grim days of bloodshed in the Caucasus
has triggered an outpouring of the most nauseating
hypocrisy from western politicians and their captive
media. As talking heads thundered against Russian
imperialism and brutal disproportionality, US vice-president
Dick Cheney, faithfully echoed by Gordon Brown and David
Miliband, declared that 'Russian aggression must not go
unanswered'. George Bush denounced Russia for having 'invaded
a sovereign neighbouring state' and threatening 'a
democratic government'. Such an action, he insisted, 'is
unacceptable in the 21st century'.
Could these by any chance be the leaders of the same
governments that in 2003 invaded and occupied - along
with Georgia, as luck would have it - the sovereign state
of Iraq on a false pretext at the cost of hundreds of
thousands of lives? Or even the two governments that
blocked a ceasefire in the summer of 2006 as Israel
pulverised Lebanon's infrastructure and killed more than
a thousand civilians in retaliation for the capture or
killing of five soldiers?
You'd be hard put to recall after all the fury over
Russian aggression that it was actually Georgia that
began the war last Thursday with an all-out attack on
South Ossetia to 'restore constitutional order' - in
other words, rule over an area it has never controlled
since the collapse of the Soviet Union. Nor, amid the
outrage at Russian bombardments, have there been much
more than the briefest references to the atrocities
committed by Georgian forces against citizens it claims
as its own in South Ossetia's capital Tskhinvali. Several
hundred civilians were killed there by Georgian troops
last week, along with Russian soldiers operating under a
1990s peace agreement: 'I saw a Georgian soldier throw a
grenade into a basement full of women and children,' one
Tskhinvali resident, Saramat Tskhovredov, told reporters
on Tuesday.
Might it be because Georgia is what Jim Murphy, Britain's
minister for Europe, called a 'small beautiful democracy'.
Well it's certainly small and beautiful, but both the
current president, Mikheil Saakashvili, and his
predecessor came to power in western-backed coups, the
most recent prettified as a 'Rose revolution'.
Saakashvili was then initially rubber-stamped into office
with 96% of the vote before establishing what the
International Crisis Group recently described as an 'increasingly
authoritarian' government, violently cracking down on
opposition dissent and independent media last November. 'Democratic'
simply seems to mean 'pro-western' in these cases.
The long-running dispute over South Ossetia - as well as
Abkhazia, the other contested region of Georgia - is the
inevitable consequence of the breakup of the Soviet Union.
As in the case of Yugoslavia, minorities who were happy
enough to live on either side of an internal boundary
that made little difference to their lives feel quite
differently when they find themselves on the wrong side
of an international state border.
Such problems would be hard enough to settle through
negotiation in any circumstances. But add in the tireless
US promotion of Georgia as a pro-western, anti-Russian
forward base in the region, its efforts to bring Georgia
into NATO, the routing of a key Caspian oil pipeline
through its territory aimed at weakening Russia's control
of energy supplies, and the US-sponsored recognition of
the independence of Kosovo - whose status Russia had
explicitly linked to that of South Ossetia and Abkhazia -
and conflict was only a matter of time.
The CIA has in fact been closely involved in Georgia
since the Soviet collapse. But under the Bush
administration, Georgia has become a fully fledged US
satellite. Georgia's forces are armed and trained by the
US and Israel. It has the third-largest military
contingent in Iraq - hence the US need to airlift 800 of
them back to fight the Russians at the weekend.
Saakashvili's links with the neoconservatives in
Washington are particularly close: the lobbying firm
headed by US Republican candidate John McCain's top
foreign policy adviser, Randy Scheunemann, has been paid
nearly $900,000 by the Georgian government since 2004.
But underlying the conflict of the past week has also
been the Bush administration's wider, explicit
determination to enforce US global hegemony and prevent
any regional challenge, particularly from a resurgent
Russia. That aim was first spelled out when Cheney was
defence secretary under Bush's father, but its full
impact has only been felt as Russia has begun to recover
from the disintegration of the 1990s.
Over the past decade, NATO's relentless eastward
expansion has brought the western military alliance hard
up against Russia's borders and deep into former Soviet
territory. American military bases have spread across
eastern Europe and central Asia, as the US has helped
install one anti-Russian client government after another
through a series of colour-coded revolutions. Now the
Bush administration is preparing to site a missile
defence system in eastern Europe transparently targeted
at Russia.
By any sensible reckoning, this is not a story of Russian
aggression, but of US imperial expansion and ever tighter
encirclement of Russia by a potentially hostile power.
That a stronger Russia has now used the South Ossetian
imbroglio to put a check on that expansion should hardly
come as a surprise. What is harder to work out is why
Saakashvili launched last week's attack and whether he
was given any encouragement by his friends in Washington.
If so, it has spectacularly backfired, at savage human
cost. And despite Bush's attempts to talk tough yesterday,
the war has also exposed the limits of US power in the
region. As long as Georgia proper's independence is
respected - best protected by opting for neutrality -
that should be no bad thing. Unipolar domination of the
world has squeezed the space for genuine self-determination
and the return of some counterweight has to be welcome.
But the process of adjustment also brings huge dangers.
If Georgia had been a member of NATO, this week's
conflict would have risked a far sharper escalation. That
would be even more obvious in the case of Ukraine - which
yesterday gave a warning of the potential for future
confrontation when its pro-western president threatened
to restrict the movement of Russian ships in and out of
their Crimean base in Sevastopol. As great power conflict
returns, South Ossetia is likely to be only a taste of
things to come.
Georgia on their mind
By Mahir Ali
FORTY years ago tomorrow, Soviet tanks rumbled into
Czechoslovakia to bury an experiment in socialist
democracy that had become known as the Prague Spring: a
broadly popular effort by elements within the
Czechoslovak ruling party to shake up the postwar
political model imposed throughout much of Eastern Europe.
It was by no means obvious where the reforms would lead,
but the combination of political and cultural freedoms
with a socialist economy could potentially have evolved
into a model that would have appealed to progressive-minded
citizens in Western bourgeois-democracies. The party
bosses in Moscow did their capitalist sparring partners a
huge favour by decreeing that Czechoslovakias
course must be reversed by force. Of course, that
wasnt their main purpose: they were driven largely
by the fear that the Prague infection might cross borders
within the communist bloc.
This was, mind you, the Brezhnev era, characterised by a
lack of imagination at the helm, which fed into a
determination to maintain the status quo. The epic
bloodthirstiness of the Stalin years was a thing of the
past, but the spirit of Uncle Joe had not been
effectively exorcised (notwithstanding the Khrushchev
interregnum), and deviations from the mundane uniformity
decreed by the Kremlin were frowned upon. Sadly but
inevitably, the Prague Spring was perceived as a
challenge to Moscows authority.
Had Czechoslovakias path not been blocked in 1968,
it is at least conceivable that Eastern Europe and even
the Soviet Union itself would have evolved along
different lines, and the upheavals and sharp transitions
of two decades later could somehow have been avoided.
Be that as it may, in recent weeks Russian tanks have
again been on the move in a foreign land for the first
time since Soviet forces withdrew from Afghanistan 20
years ago. Not surprisingly, the Georgian incursion has
elicited semi-spurious comparisons with that earlier
invasion. US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice, for
instance, has been quoted as saying: This is not
1968 and the invasion of Czechoslovakia, where Russia can
threaten a neighbour, occupy a capital, overthrow a
government and get away with it. Things have changed.
Her boss has made similar noises, albeit without putting
himself through the ordeal of trying to pronounce
Czechoslovakia. The general thrust of
American comments can be summed up by Republican
presidential candidate John McCains pronouncement:
In the 21st century, nations dont invade
other nations.
For a man who not only fervently supports the occupation
of Iraq and Afghanistan but has indicated that he is keen
to extend a similar privilege to Iran, this is hypocrisy
of breathtaking proportions. To point this out is not to
imply that the Russian military action against a tiny
neighbour was justified. But it does have a context,
which has been all but ignored by American officials,
politicians and much of the media, partly because the
alternative entails acknowledging wrongdoing, or at least
brash stupidity, on the part of Mikheil Saakashvili, the
young New York lawyer who became president of Georgia
four years ago.
His elevation to that post was considered a triumph for
US foreign policy, given that he worships the Bush
administration, is extremely keen to join Nato, and has
contributed more troops to the Iraqi misadventure than
any country other than the US and Britain. Nearly half
those troops were airlifted back to Georgia with American
assistance after the fighting began. Georgias
modest army has been equipped and trained by the US and
Israel, and about 130 American military advisers are
based in the country.
It is extremely unlikely that they were unaware of
Saakashvilis intentions or of the likely Russian
response. There is thus far no evidence that the
Americans encouraged the Georgian provocation and
no explanation for why they didnt prevent it.
South Ossetia and Abkhazia have long been anomalies in
the geopolitical sense, as they were incorporated
somewhat arbitrarily into Georgia, despite the absence of
strong cultural or ethnic affinities. This did not matter
all that much while the Soviet Union was intact, but when
Georgia became independent in 1991, the two territories
sought to break away. Georgia wasnt willing to let
go, and violence followed. Ultimately, both achieved a
degree of autonomy, with Russian assistance. Saakashvili,
basing his appeal on a nationalist platform, sought to
change this.
His success in recovering two other zones with separatist
tendencies may have blinded him to the likely
consequences of toying with Russian sensibilities in
South Ossetia. He clearly harboured illusions about
Georgias invulnerability on the basis of his status
as one of Uncle Sams favourite nephews. The US
would have been reluctant at the best of times to
directly take on Russia over such a matter, but even the
dumbest administration wouldnt seriously weigh the
possibility when it is so obviously otherwise engaged,
with its military capacity stretched to the limit.
When a planeload or so of American humanitarian aid
headed for Georgia, the nephew had the audacity to
announce that US forces would be taking over control of
his countrys ports and airports. The uncles
representatives hastily responded with a string of
denials, even as Rice headed towards the war zone
quite possibly relieved to be dealing with a crisis that
fell within her area of academic expertise, unlike the
blasted Middle East.
However, the secretary of states presence in the
Georgian capital, Tbilisi, had little immediate effect on
the Russian show of force. An early ceasefire agreement
mediated by French President Nicolas Sarkozy on behalf of
the European Union apparently had little effect, as
Russian troops overran the town of Gori (which happens to
be Josef Stalins birthplace), encountering little
resistance.
At the beginning of this week, a pullout from Georgia
proper was supposedly underway, Moscow having made its
point. Long-term occupation was never a prospect, but the
future of South Ossetia (and Abkhazia) is no longer in
Saakashvilis hands. In fact, once the upsurge in
nationalist feeling wears off, his political future could
be in doubt, given the astounding lack of nous that went
into staging an unnecessary provocation.
In the years since the Soviet Union imploded, the US has
established military bases across a majority of former
Soviet republics. Others have been incorporated into Nato,
despite promises to the contrary.
Russia has now given notice that it is no longer willing
to lie back and accept this encirclement.
It is perfectly reasonable to entertain qualms about a
resurgent Russias intentions under Vladimir Putin
and his handpicked clone, Dmitry Medvedev. However,
unlike the Soviet conquest of Czechoslovakia 40 years ago,
its resolve to challenge American hegemony in the 21st
century may actually pay dividends in the medium term.
The writer is a journalist based in Sydney.
mahir.worldview@gmail.com
Tkviavi residents turn against Georgian regime
Sean Walker The Independent
Passing along the road to Tkviavi, the lush green
fields, bountiful orchards and gentle slopes of the
Caucasus foothills give off the air of a sleepy rural
paradise. But the scorched earth and burnt-out shells of
cars that litter the roadside are clues that all is not
right here, and the silence gripping the town that two
weeks ago had a population of 1,300 is eerie.
Tkviavi is the closest town inside Georgia "proper"
to the border with South Ossetia and its capital,
Tskhinvali. Its residents watched as Georgian troops
poured up the road three weeks ago in their ill-fated
push to regain South Ossetia, and they watched as the
army fled, leaving their village undefended. Along with
them went the young of the town, scared of counter-attacks.
Only the elderly and sick remained.
Then, on 12 August, Russian jets bombed the village,
destroying dozens of homes. For a week afterwards, the
feared maradyori marauding gangs of South
Ossetians and other irregular militias surged down
the road from Tskhinvali in an orgy of looting, torching
and killing.
Now, its people are stuck in limbo. The Russians have
established a checkpoint further down the road at
Karaleti, preventing those who fled from returning to
help their elderly relatives.
But while there was initial fury among the residents
at the "Ossetian dogs" who had robbed and
trashed their homes, now the target of the anger in
Tkviavi seems to be changing. There is a corresponding
backlash against President Mikheil Saakashvili, for bring
misfortune upon them.
"Please tell everyone in Russia, in the world,
that we want to be with Russia, we don't want Saakashvili.
He has brought us nothing but trouble," implored
Karaman Goguashvili, 77. "We don't need Nato, we don't
need America, we need to be friends with Russia."
When asked if they agreed with this, the other
villagers in the group nodded vigorously. "We're all
people who have been through a lot in our lives, we're
not easily scared," added Mr Goguashvili, pointing
out the garden where he and his wife hid during the
looting raids. "But now we are all scared. Many
people have died here. Who will defend us? Who will look
after us? We are left here all alone."
In one area at the edge of the town, some houses are
razed. Debris and twisted bits of metal litter the ground.
A large group of villagers showed us round their
destroyed houses, each one recounting a tale more pitiful
than the last.
Inside another house that had only light bomb damage,
two elderly men sat in stained white vests. They sat in
silence, their hands clutching a rail in front of them
and shaking uncontrollably. When questioned, neither man
even registered the question or the presence of a
stranger in the house. They simply continued staring at
the wall, their scrawny hands quivering. "He's been
like this ever since the bombings," wailed the
distraught wife of one. "We don't know what to do.
We need medicines, doctors. But nothing is coming."
The Russian bombing attacks on Georgia have mostly
targeted military infrastructure, and where they have
missed, such as in Gori, there were obvious military
targets nearby. But there is nothing of military
importance in this village, and the bombing raids came
days after the Georgian army had fled.
One shopkeeper said he had only voted for Mr
Saakashvili because government officials told him his
shop would be closed down if he did not. "Russia
protected Georgia for hundreds of years; we've always
been close to Russia," said another resident. "The
Ossetians behaved like dogs, but if Russia is our friend,
then the Ossetians will be our friends, too."
There were more nods of agreement. "We are just
simple people, we are peasants," rejoined Mr
Goguashvili. "Perhaps all the intellectuals in
Tbilisi who want to be with America are far cleverer than
us; perhaps they understand the world better than we do.
But we are the ones left here who have to live with this,"
he said, with a mournful gesture towards the wreckage
behind him.
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